Part 1:Implications of Rohingya crisis for India(if given entry)

What will happen if some of the  Rohingya refugees come to India,  the consequences would be something as follows. 

They would be in worse conditions than in Bangladesh. 

The poor reach of state utilities of water, electricity and food supplies enjoy in north east is well documented.

Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur and Nagaland suffered from devastating floods two months ago. 500,000 homeless and another 400,000 affected. With poor and limited state resources, where would the resources come from?

The rugged terrain has prevented widespread development of railways and roads. 

The high cost of importing and exporting due to distance from accessible sea port(Kolkata) has prevented development. The cost of import and export through Bangladesh is high as the multi modal transport treaty has not taken off. The access to Chittagong and Mongolia ports of Bangladesh still face great hurdles.

There is no land in India where farming is possible and is not owned by anybody. 

Large number of refugees have already caused deforestation. Endemic (special to NE India) is not helped by incoming mass of refugees.

Lack of opportunities will definitely propagate modern slavery. Illegal activities like poaching and poppy farming can also take place.

Thus there is no infrastructural or economic space for refugees.

Moving on to socio-cultural factors

The north east already suffers alienation as many main land Indians fail to even list out the ‘seven sisters’ addition of disgruntled refugees creates an incendiary mix.

There is already insurgency and militancy grounded in manipur, Assam, Nagaland. Arunachal is a strategically sensitive area and refugees from previous waves have already altered the demographics and have been a cause for widespread discontent and protests. Introducing refugees would further skew the local demographic. Eg. All Assam Student Union had movement against Bangladeshi illegal migrants. There are many more examples, look here https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insurgency_in_Northeast_India

When govt shifted some Rohingyas to Kashmir, they were booted out.

Now to some historical context

Myanmar, Burma in those days separated from British India in 1937. The Rohingya Muslims fought for and pleaded with Jinnah for inclusion in East Pakistan. These people then chose Bangladesh(East Pakistan) and today giving them refuge in India would set a wrong precedent and in my view devalue the sacrifices made by people for United India.

In 1971 when Pakistan was doing ethnic cleansing in Bangladesh(then East Pakistan) U.N. did nothing, no resolution, no statements, no press releases. Instead the U.N. Secretary General visited Dhaka confirming the support for Pakistan. There were a ton of refugees but little movement from U.N.

Now a bit more from global perspective

This is ethnic cleansing, there is no doubt about it. As the world increases pressure on Myanmar and tries to pass resolutions against it, it will look for support. If India opposes Myanmar it will look to China and fall farther into China’s orbit, as did happen during the period of military junta rule.

Myanmar is the key state in India’s “Act East” policy. Pakistan and china have blocked us from west Asia, Central Asia. The markets open to us are on the east. Thailand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines ; the ASEAN countries. If Myanmar denies us transit then east will also be closed to us. 

50 Muslim majority countries have formed a grouping called Organisation of Islamic Countries(OIC). When Palestine and Kashmir come up they raise their voices and condemn but did they accommodate the Syrian refugees or Libyan, Europe welcomed them leading to Brexit, rise of populist nationalism(neo-nazi parties first time entered German Parliament since WW II). Rich and powerful countries like Saudi, Iran, Nigeria, Indonesia could have accommodated the refugees. The term for Muslim brotherhood is ‘Umma’ , it is supposed to join all Muslims across the world irrespective of Shia and Sunni or any other race, language , sect, or any other divide.

There is no dearth of extremist organisations in India, inviting any refugees is equivalent to a disaster.

Knowing that the surrounding nations are theocratic (there is a state religion) India did not sign refugee convention of 1951 nor in 1974. There is no agreement/treaty which we need to honour.

If we accept refugees, we will have more refugees due to climate change, religion or simply due to economic opportunities. 

This will set a precedent and out neighbours will exploit it.